Truth be told, at the time, I couldn’t care about the 3rd-7th pay scale. While it’s nice money, I wanted to ship this thing. Here’s my thoughts on the AA/JJ/TT hand.
I have played extensively with Missy (AA) over the years. The blinds are 2000/4000/1000a. I have 215,000. She has 55,000. She understands tourney play and I estimate her shove range to be any pairs, any Broadway, and any ace. My TT has her range crushed 64:36 (PokerStove).
I have been at the same table with Dolce Gabanna glasses (JJ) for over 7 hours. My reads on him are that he never 2bets preflop. He limps with a lot of pairs, and Broadway cards. I’ve seen him limp with as bad as QTo OOP. He has 120,000 behind and from MP just flats Missy’s UTG shove. My thoughts are this assmonkey has to jam the pot with JJ+. He just flats.
In my egoistic thinking, I think my TT is in the lead here. The question is by how much? I am really hoping I am up against AT-AK from both players. PokerStove TT 45% Missy’s Range 27.5% DG Glasses Range 27.5%
I didn’t snap shove with TT. I actually took my time to think this through. I guess the problem with hand –ranging is that AA and JJ are also in their ranges and they happened to get those cards.
The very next hand, Russian Frankie opens from UTG to 17K leaving 90K behind. The fact that I called him “Russian” Frankie tells you everything you need to know. His range is top 50% of cards. Either I 3bet him to 51,000 or I shove. Either way, I think Frankie is putting his chips in the middle this hand. PokerStove shows AQo is a 2:1 favorite over his range. So I shove and he wakes up with AK.
Q1: Do I really fold TT here?
Q2: Am I analyzing my hands wrong here? Do I really play against their ranges, or do I have to take into account other factors here?
